IN-DEPTH PREVIEW
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
This fight night is headlined by a strawweight rematch with major implications. Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas first met in 2019, with Ribas emerging victorious via unanimous decision. Now, years later, they meet again at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 (also known as UFC Fight Night 249, UFC Vegas 101, and UFC on ESPN+ 107) , both looking to prove they belong among the elite in the strawweight division. This comprehensive preview will cover everything you need to know about this exciting matchup, from fight card details and fighter backgrounds to expert predictions and historical context.
Event details
Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada, USA
Main Card Start Time: 02:00 (Sunday, January 12, EET)
Preliminary Card Start Time: 23:00 (Saturday, January 11, EET)
fight card
Main Card
- Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas – Women’s Strawweight (Headliner)
- Chris Curtis vs. Roman Kopylov – Middleweight (Co-main)
- Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris – Welterweight
Prelim
- Cesar Almeida vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan – Middleweight
- Thiago Moises vs. Trey Ogden – Lightweight
- Christian Rodriguez vs. Austin Bashi – Featherweight
- Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Nicolle Caliari – Women’s Flyweight
- Punahele Soriano vs. Uros Medic – Welterweight
- Andreas Berg Gustafsson vs. Preston Parsons – Welterweight
- Fatima Kline vs. Viktoriya Dudakova – Women’s Strawweight
- Jose Johnson vs. Felipe Bunes – Flyweight
- Marco Tulio vs. Ihor Potieria – Middleweight
- Nurullo Aliev vs. Yanal Ashmouz – Lightweight
- Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs. Bruno Lopes – Light Heavyweight
Fighter Backgrounds
Mackenzie Dern
- Rekord: 14-5-0
- Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist with improving striking
- Recent Performances: Dern has had mixed results lately, going 3-3-1 in her last seven fights (including the upcoming Ribas rematch). She is coming off a unanimous decision win over Lupita Godinez at UFC on ABC 7 in August 2024, snapping a two-fight losing streak. Before that, she suffered a unanimous decision loss to Amanda Lemos at UFC 298 and a TKO loss to Jessica Andrade at UFC 295.
- Strengths: Dern is one of the most dangerous submission grapplers in the strawweight division. She has a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has secured seven submission victories in her MMA career. She is known for her aggressive style, always pushing forward and looking to finish fights.
- Weaknesses: While her striking has improved, Dern can still be vulnerable on the feet, especially against powerful strikers. She has also struggled with maintaining consistency in her performances.
- Other Notes: Dern recently suffered a surprising submission loss to Ffion Davies at the Craig Jones Invitational, a grappling competition. This raises questions about her current form and potential vulnerabilities in her grappling game.
Amanda Ribas
- Rekord: 12-5-0
- Fighting Style: Well-rounded with a strong judo base and improving striking.
- Recent Performances: Similar to Dern, Ribas has also had an up-and-down stretch, going 3-4 in her last seven. She is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Rose Namajunas at UFC on ESPN 53 in March 2024. Before that, she secured a TKO victory against Luana Pinheiro at UFC Fight Night 232, showcasing her evolving striking skills.
- Strengths: Ribas is a versatile fighter with good takedown defense and a solid ground game, stemming from her judo background. She is also known for her positive attitude and infectious personality.
- Weaknesses: Ribas can sometimes struggle against opponents with a significant reach advantage.
- Muud märkused: Ribas has an active social media presence, often sharing glimpses into her training and personal life. This contrasts with her more reserved and focused demeanor inside the Octagon.
Dern vs. Ribas: First Fight Recap and Historical Data
In their first encounter at UFC Fight Night 161 in October 2019, Ribas effectively utilized her striking and takedown defense to neutralize Dern's grappling and secure a unanimous decision victory. Dern struggled to take Ribas down and was unable to implement her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu game. Ribas landed the more effective strikes and controlled the fight for the majority of the time.
This historical data suggests that Ribas may have a stylistic advantage, but it's important to remember that both fighters have evolved significantly since their first encounter.
Expert Predictions and Analysis
Expert opinions are divided on this fight. Some analysts, like those at MMA Intel Blog , favor Dern, believing her grappling prowess will be the deciding factor. They predict that she will be able to take Ribas down and secure a submission.
Others, like Axel West , believe Ribas' well-rounded game and improved striking will be enough to keep the fight standing and outpoint Dern again.
This difference in predictions highlights the uncertainty and excitement surrounding this matchup.
Betting odds
As of December 18, 2024, the betting odds for the Dern vs. Ribas fight are as follows:
- Mackenzie Dern: +136 (bet $100 to win $136)
- Amanda Ribas: -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
These odds suggest that Ribas is slightly favored to win the fight, but the relatively close odds indicate that it is expected to be a competitive matchup.
Key Insights and Analysis
This rematch holds significant weight for both fighters' careers, especially given their recent inconsistent performances. Both Dern and Ribas have alternated wins and losses in their past few fights, making this a crucial opportunity to establish momentum and climb the strawweight rankings.
Dern's recent focus on a more composed fighting style could be a key factor in the rematch. After her loss to Amanda Lemos, Dern acknowledged the need for greater patience and strategy in her fights. If she can successfully implement this approach against Ribas, it could help her avoid unnecessary risks and capitalize on her grappling opportunities.
The contrasting grappling styles of Dern and Ribas will likely be a focal point of the fight. Dern is known for her aggressive, submission-oriented Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, while Ribas relies on her judo background for takedown defense and a more controlled ground game. This clash of styles could lead to exciting grappling exchanges and potentially a decisive finish.
Broadcast Information
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 will be broadcast live on ESPN+ in the United States. The event can be streamed with an ESPN+ subscription. Several ESPN+ subscription packages are available, including bundles that include Disney+ and Hulu services.
kokkuvõte
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 is shaping up to be a thrilling event with a high-stakes main event. Both Dern and Ribas are skilled and determined fighters looking to make a statement in the strawweight division. Dern's grappling expertise and Ribas' well-rounded game create an intriguing stylistic matchup with several potential outcomes..
Will Dern avenge her previous loss and solidify her position as a top contender, or will Ribas once again overcome Dern's grappling and prove her own championship aspirations? Tune in on 11. jaanuaril to witness this exciting chapter in their rivalry!
Stay tuned for Dern vs. Ribas fighter information
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